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The Debt We Don't Talk About: Kenya's Sh13 Trillion in Real Human Terms

Numbers in the trillions are too abstract to feel. Here is what Kenya's debt actually costs ordinary families every single day.

INFINITY254 MEDIA

INFINITY254 MEDIA

Columnist · 12 September 2026, 1:00 PM EAT

2 min read
The Debt We Don't Talk About: Kenya's Sh13 Trillion in Real Human Terms
Kenya's gleaming financial towers stand in contrast to a fiscal reality that is constraining public services.

Sh13 trillion. The number sits in parliament debates and newspaper headlines like a piece of furniture too large for the room — acknowledged, occasionally bumped into, but never truly confronted. Let me try to make it smaller, and in doing so, more frightening.

Divide Sh13 trillion by 56 million — Kenya's current population. Every Kenyan, including the newborn who arrived this morning in Kakamega County Referral Hospital, owes approximately Sh232,000 to external and domestic creditors. The infant has not spoken her first word. She already has a financial obligation larger than most Kenyans earn in a year.

Now consider what Kenya pays in interest alone. The government's own budget documents show that debt service — principal repayment plus interest — consumes approximately 65 percent of government revenue. That means that for every Sh100 that KRA collects from your PAYE, your VAT, your rental income tax, Sh65 goes straight to creditors. The remaining Sh35 funds roads, hospitals, schools, the police, the courts, and everything else government is supposed to do.

This is why the mama mboga in Gikomba cannot get a reliable water connection. Why the Level 4 hospital in Garissa runs out of suturing material. Why the teacher in Turkana hasn't received a capitation grant for her school in three months. The money is not missing through corruption alone — though there is plenty of that. It is missing because it was spent before it arrived, committed to repaying loans taken out by governments past and present.

What is the solution? I will not pretend it is simple. But the first step is honesty. When President Ruto says he "borrowed less," and Treasury data suggests otherwise, we are not having an honest conversation. When the opposition promises debt cancellation without explaining which creditor they plan to convince, they are not having an honest conversation either.

The honest conversation begins with acknowledging that Kenya is in a debt trap and that escaping it requires both austerity that the political class hates and debt restructuring that creditors hate. Nobody gets out of this pain-free. What we owe ourselves is the truth about that.